Optimal Two-Choice Stopping on an Exponential Sequence
نویسندگان
چکیده
Let X1 X2 Xn be independent and identically distributed with distribution function F . A statistician may choose two X values from the sequence by means of two stopping rules t1 t2, with the goal of maximizing E Xt1 ∨ Xt2 . We describe the optimal stopping rules and the asymptotic behavior of the optimal expected stopping values, V 2 n , as n → , when F is the exponential distribution. Specifically, we show that limn→ n 1− F V 2 n = 1− e−1, and conjecture that this same limit obtains for any F in the (Type I) domain of attraction of exp −e−x .
منابع مشابه
Optimal Stopping Policy for Multivariate Sequences a Generalized Best Choice Problem
In the classical versions of “Best Choice Problem”, the sequence of offers is a random sample from a single known distribution. We present an extension of this problem in which the sequential offers are random variables but from multiple independent distributions. Each distribution function represents a class of investment or offers. Offers appear without any specified order. The objective is...
متن کامل9 S ep 2 00 2 Best Choice from the Planar Poisson Process
Various best-choice problems related to the planar homogeneous Poisson process in finite or semi-infinite rectangle are studied. The analysis is largely based on properties of the onedimensional box-area process associated with the sequence of records. We prove a series of distributional identities involving exponential and uniform random variables, and resolve the Petruccelli-Porosinski-Samuel...
متن کاملBest Choice from the Planar Poisson Process
Various best-choice problems related to the planar homogeneous Poisson process in finite or semi-infinite rectangle are studied. The analysis is largely based on properties of the onedimensional box-area process associated with the sequence of records. We prove a series of distributional identities involving exponential and uniform random variables, and resolve the Petruccelli-Porosinski-Samuel...
متن کاملSharp Inequalities for Optimal Stopping with Rewards Based on Ranks
A universal bound for the maximal expected reward is obtained for stopping a sequence of independent random variables where the reward is a nonincreasing function of the rank of the variable selected. This bound is shown to be sharp in three classical cases: (i) when maximizing the probability of choosing one of the k best; (ii) when minimizing the expected rank; and (iii) for an exponential fu...
متن کاملTwo Choice Optimal Stopping∗†
Let Xn, . . . , X1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F . A statistician, knowing F , observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X’s using stopping rules. The statistician’s goal is to stop at a value of X as small as possible. Let V 2 n equal the expectation of the smaller of the two values chosen by the statistician when proceeding optimally. We o...
متن کامل